RWA market cap$34.2B1.3%
Stablecoin market cap$300.5B1.7%
US Treasury Debt$15.5B4.5%
Commodities$4.6B3.0%
Asset-Backed Credit$2.3B1.1%
Specialty Finance$2.0B0.6%
Stocks$1.9B10.4%
Corporate Credit$1.8B0.1%
Active Strategies$1.6B3.2%
non-US Government Debt$1.4B1.7%
Private Equity$1.1B2.9%
Venture Capital$1.0B0.3%
Diversified Credit$851M0.6%
Real Estate$203M0.0%
RWA market cap$34.2B1.3%
Stablecoin market cap$300.5B1.7%
US Treasury Debt$15.5B4.5%
Commodities$4.6B3.0%
Asset-Backed Credit$2.3B1.1%
Specialty Finance$2.0B0.6%
Stocks$1.9B10.4%
Corporate Credit$1.8B0.1%
Active Strategies$1.6B3.2%
non-US Government Debt$1.4B1.7%
Private Equity$1.1B2.9%
Venture Capital$1.0B0.3%
Diversified Credit$851M0.6%
Real Estate$203M0.0%
← ResearchPodcast · Weekly Review

Stars, Stripes, and Stablecoins

Johnny ReinschJuly 11, 20267 min read
Stars, Stripes, and Stablecoins

The Fourth of July came and went, and America's 250th birthday delivered a fitting set of stories for the tokenization industry: a landmark chain launch, a bold stablecoin network, a regulatory countdown that ticked past zero without a bang, and fresh survey data showing exactly where the ecosystem's energy is focused. The US is simultaneously the most coveted market in tokenized assets and the one most locked out of its own products. That tension ran through every story this week.

Market KPIs (brought to you by RWA.xyz)

📈 RWA market cap was up ~1% WoW to $33.2 billion
🏆 Biggest RWA winner: Syrup USDC added $124M to reach $1.4 billion
🏆 Biggest network winner: Stellar added $110M to reach $2.1 billion

📈 Stablecoin market cap was up ~2% WoW back above $300 billion
🏆 Biggest stablecoin winner: USDT added $5B (on Ethereum and Tron), surpassing $190 billion for the first time
🏆 Biggest network winner: Robinhood Chain debuted, adding $157M to reach $270M

📈 Onchain risk free rates:
Short term treasuries (1m): 3.58% (SOFR, up 5 bps)
Aave / DeFi: 3.56% (up 11 bps, closing the gap to nearly flat vs. SOFR)


Robinhood Chain Goes Live

Robinhood launched the public mainnet of Robinhood Chain at an event in London, and it was one of the cleaner chain launches the ecosystem has seen. The project was first announced by CEO Vlad Tenev at Consensus last year in a presentation that was, frankly, a marketing masterclass. The execution this week lived up to the hype.

Robinhood Chain is an Arbitrum-based Layer 2 designed specifically for tokenized real world assets. Integration partners at launch include Genoswap, Alchemy, BitGo, Chainlink, RWA.xyz (a TAC member and data partner from day one), and others. The native stablecoin layer is anchored by USDG (Global Dollar, issued by Paxos, of which Robinhood is a founding network member) and USDe from Ethena. Maple Finance's Syrup product powers the Earn yield layer using USDG. Morpho is the other lending partner, reportedly subsidizing yield to the tune of roughly $100M in MORPHO tokens to hit an advertised 7% APY. Thirty-six million in deposits in week one is not bad.

The headline numbers are still modest: $12.4M in tokenized stocks and around $270M total chain TVL at launch. But there is a structural reason for that. US users cannot access the tokenized equities. One hundred and twenty countries can. The US cannot. That is a failure of US policy, plain and simple. Robinhood's user base is reportedly around 90% domestic, so when and if that regulatory door opens, the volume surge across the chain will be dramatic.

On the Maple shoutout specifically: Sid and the team have been in market a long time, and getting the Maple logo on this launch alongside Robinhood, Paxos, and Ethena is a genuinely big win. Earn users get the yield from Maple's institutional lending product, which is exactly the kind of DeFi-meets-TradFi integration that makes this whole thing compelling.

There is a live debate on crypto Twitter about whether Morpho is right to subsidize the deposit (supply) side rather than the borrow side. My counterpoint: when you're trying to bootstrap a market for tokenized equities where long-only holders can earn yield by lending their stock positions, the supply side needs priming first. You can't have a borrow market with nothing to borrow against. Once those lending markets exist, the real magic kicks in: a long-only equity position becomes an income-generating position, even without a dividend. That's a product that doesn't exist in TradFi at this scale, and it's one of the most compelling use cases for tokenized equities I can articulate.

Congrats to the entire Robinhood team, the Arbitrum team, and everyone else who pulled this off. And a particular nod to RWA.xyz for being there from day one.


Ondo Brings Tokenized US Securities Home

TAC member Ondo Finance made a quieter but arguably more consequential announcement, dropping it right before the Fourth of July holiday: the first live third-party custodial tokenized US securities operating within the existing US regulatory framework. Not a derivative. Not a total return swap wrapped in debt. An actual custodial solution that looks and behaves like a regular brokerage account, running on top of their Oasis Pro acquisition (a registered broker-dealer and ATS).

The integration with Broadridge is what makes this particularly interesting. Ondo is including shareholder communications, regulatory filings, and proxy voting rights through Broadridge's infrastructure. That matters more than it might seem. My position has always been that until a tokenized version of an asset replicates roughly all of the rights of the non-tokenized version, you're going to struggle to convince anyone who already holds the non-tokenized version to switch. Ondo gets that.

They use Alpaca for their international Ondo GM product. The Oasis Pro acquisition always seemed like a US unlock waiting to happen, and now it's happening. They're clearly positioning to be first out of the gate the moment the SEC provides clearer guidance on tokenized securities. Given how they've assembled the pieces, including the broker-dealer, the ATS, the Broadridge integration, and now live US-compliant tokenized securities, the runway looks very clean.

I don't want to get over my skis here because I always do on Ondo stories. But getting this done in the US is genuinely hard, which is why everyone else does it offshore. This is a real first increment.


OpenUSD: Big Ambition, Messy Launch

A new stablecoin network called OpenUSD (ticker: OUSD) launched with over 140 announced partners including Visa, Stripe, Mastercard, BlackRock, and Coinbase. The model is a familiar one: distribute reserve income to network participants rather than keeping it all in-house, essentially replicating the playbook of Global Dollar (USDG) and others like Agora. If you're a distribution partner, you earn yield on the reserves you drive. The idea is sound. The announcement was not entirely.

Within days, several South Korean companies including Samsung, Shinhan, and KBank publicly stated they had no formal agreement, had not signed anything, and were unclear on their role. More companies followed. It became murky fast whether some of these logos were ever actually committed to the project or just had a call with someone on the team.

I have some sympathy here. When we announced the last TAC cohort with 40 new members, I had a hundred-plus-thread email chain trying to get everyone formally signed off. I pulled logos last minute because some larger companies hadn't formally cleared their branding. Herding 140 large organizations toward a coordinated announcement is genuinely chaotic, and the line between "had a meeting" and "signed on" can get blurry under deadline pressure. That said, the gap between what was announced and what was apparently agreed to was wide enough to generate real blowback.

I can verify at least one: I was at Lightspark last week, and they are genuinely engaging with this. So at minimum, not all 140 were phantom relationships.

The more interesting story here is what happened to Circle's stock. Jeremy Allaire was literally on stage at the Goldman Sachs conference when the OpenUSD press release went live. Circle's stock dropped roughly 12%. The market read this as a direct threat to USDC's US dominance. Coinbase was listed as a partner, and Coinbase takes roughly 40% of USDC's reserve revenue, so any threat to USDC is a double hit to Circle's investor story. The reaction was probably more informed by the logo density of the announcement than by a rigorous analysis of how hard it actually is to bootstrap stablecoin distribution. PayPal PYUSD has ungodly distribution through Venmo and still only sits at a few billion in circulation. That context matters.

The structural design of OpenUSD is right. Stablecoins as a network-owned cooperative, sharing interchange-equivalent economics with participants, is exactly how Visa was built. Dhawk's playbook of getting all the banks to agree to form Visa worked because everyone got more volume by joining than by fighting. That's the right frame here. Whether OpenUSD can actually execute, close the partnerships formally, and compete against USDC's deeply entrenched network effects is a separate question.

My view on the smaller stablecoin issuers in this field: specialization is now your only viable path. Scattershot distribution against a trebuchet is not a winning strategy. Find a vertical. Gaming. A specific industry. A specific geography. Own it completely. The TAM is money, so there's room, but you have to be the best in your lane, not the fifth-best generalist.


Clarity Act: The 4th Came and Went

We had set July 4th as our informal countdown date for the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. The 250th birthday of the United States came and went without a floor vote. No meaningful procedural progress was made. CFTC Chair Brian Quintenz has said the parties are very close. Senator Cynthia Lummis has indicated a push for a floor vote the week of July 14th. The new hard deadline is August 7th, after which the Senate goes into recess.

Polymarket has the probability of the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026 at around 45%. I'd largely agree with that. The core challenge remains political: getting to 60 votes in the Senate requires Democratic crossover, and that has been the stubborn obstacle throughout. The recent deterioration in US-Iran negotiations has also consumed Senate bandwidth and political capital in ways that complicate any crypto legislation moving to the floor.

We'll keep watching. But we did not get our birthday gift.


TAC Survey: The Ecosystem Is Selling to Institutions

We just completed a survey at the Tokenized Asset Coalition of 78 people across the tokenization ecosystem, the large majority of them CEOs and operators. A few findings worth calling out.

78% of respondents said they are seeing demand and selling directly to institutions. Retail is a distant secondary focus. That confirmed what I intuited but it's good to have the data.

The second biggest challenge behind distribution was regulatory clarity. Those two probably go hand in hand. If you're selling to a bank or asset manager and they kick it to their legal team for sign-off, "we don't have regulatory clarity yet" is exactly the objection that comes back. Distribution blockers and regulatory uncertainty are probably the same problem wearing different clothes.

The takeaway for anyone building in or around this ecosystem: if you can help companies sell to institutions, you will be well received. I'll be publishing the full results shortly.


Shoutouts

Securitize officially launched its tokenized equity, ticker SZE, available on Solana, Avalanche, and NYSE for those who want to go the traditional route.

Centrifuge has partnered with New York Life Investment Management to tokenize a US high yield corporate bond strategy. Another marquee name entering the tokenized credit space.

Gauntlet raised $125 million in a single-investor round from Japan's SBI Holdings. $125M from one non-VC investor is genuinely unusual and gives them a serious runway to keep doing what they do.

Maple Finance and Syrup USDG launched on Robinhood Chain as part of the Robinhood Earn product. Already covered above, but worth repeating: a big win for Sid and the team.


Watch or listen to the full episode on Spotify.

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